Development trend of power generation equipment in

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Introduction to the development trend of power generation equipment industry in 2011: through 2010, many industries have delivered satisfactory results in the recovery of the post financial crisis, and the power generation equipment manufacturing industry has also experienced a year of sustained and stable development. If compared with the previous financial crisis, recovery is the theme of the power generation equipment industry in 2010. So, what kind of development trend will the industry face in 2011

in recent years, the power generation equipment industry has made great progress in both product output and technological innovation. Next, power generation equipment manufacturing enterprises need to find their own positioning, speed up the adjustment of industrial structure, based on the high-end, not only pursue the number of kilowatts, but also pursue the profit level per kilowatt. Wang Shuqiang, director of the equipment department of the Department of energy conservation and scientific and technological equipment of the national energy administration, pointed out

exports increased significantly

during the Eleventh Five Year Plan period, China's equipment manufacturing industry showed a strong development trend. From 2006 to 2010, the added value of the equipment industry increased by more than 25% annually, among which the output of power generation equipment ranked first in the world

by the end of 2010, China's installed power generation capacity had reached 979 million KW. It is estimated that by 2015, the total installed capacity of the country will reach 1.436 billion kw, with an average annual growth of 8% during the 12th Five Year Plan period. Shen Jiang, deputy director of the smart power department of the State Power Corporation, previously said that during the 12th Five Year Plan period, the installed capacity of power generation in the country will change structurally, the proportion of coal-fired power will be reduced from 70% to 64%, and the proportion of clean energy such as wind power, hydropower and nuclear power will be greatly increased

according to the data released by the power generation equipment center of China Machinery Industry Federation, the total output of power generation equipment industry in 2010 was basically the same as that in 2009, reaching 117 million KW. Among them, thermal power completed 82.35 million KW, accounting for 70%, a decrease of 2% compared with 2009; Hydropower completed 18.17 million KW, accounting for 16%, a decrease of 14% compared with 2009; Wind power completed 14.3 million KW, accounting for 12% of the total capacity, with a year-on-year increase of 33%; Nuclear power achieved great development, with the completion of 2million kW, an increase of 1. 5% year-on-year Residual air in the oil cylinder is 21.2% long

at the same time, in the Eleventh Five Year Plan period, export is one of the highlights in the development process of China's power generation equipment industry

in 2007, China's power generation equipment exported 4.99 million kW (calculated by generator, the same below); Not to mention the cost of future protection and maintenance, 14.52 million KW units were exported in 2008, an increase of 291% year-on-year; In 2009, 16.48 million KW units were exported, with a year-on-year increase of 13%. The export delivery value increased year by year. In 2007, the export delivery value of power generation equipment was US $870 million, and in 2008, the export delivery value was US $1.83 billion, an increase of 95.2% year-on-year; In 2009, the export delivery value was US $2.12 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 16.4%

data show that as of the third quarter of 2010, China's power generation equipment exports have accounted for about 15% of the annual output. At the previous 2011 power generation equipment preparation meeting, it was learned that China's power generation equipment exports are expected to reach a new high in 2011. It is estimated that 88 hydropower units and thermal power units will be exported in 2011, with 22.22 million kW (calculated by generator), accounting for 17% of the power generation equipment, including 29 hydropower units with 1.27 million KW; 50 thermal power units, 20.95 million KW. At the same time, the unit capacity and technical level of export units have been continuously improved, from the export of 200000 kW and 300000 kW Subcritical Units to the export of 600000 kW supercritical units, and the mode of supply has changed from the export of single units to the export of complete sets of equipment. Exporting countries are also diversified, gradually extending from the traditional Southeast Asian market to Africa, the Middle East, South America and Europe

the market situation is still grim

although China's power generation equipment market has warmed up compared with the financial crisis in 2008, the power generation equipment market situation in 2010 has quietly changed

in the power generation equipment market in 2010, the hydropower and solar photovoltaic markets showed obvious signs of recovery, but the domestic thermal power equipment market continued to be weak, the nuclear power market was basically still in a state of adjustment, the wind power market was still in the development period, but the competition was becoming increasingly fierce, and the market development of the power station service industry was also facing great difficulties. A person in charge of Dongfang Electric [35.44 2.37%] group summed up the power generation equipment market in 2010 in an interview

in recent years, the pace of power station construction in China has gradually slowed down, and the pace of adjustment of power investment structure has continued to accelerate. Although thermal power still occupies the main position of energy supply at present, its proportion in the energy structure continues to decline. China's energy production has increased the proportion of clean and emerging energy. Domestic new thermal power projects show a downward trend, and the situation of conventional thermal power market is grim

now it is obvious that the number of domestic thermal power bidding projects has decreased, which may affect the development of the industry in the next two years, and the price of newly signed contracts has also decreased significantly. It is urgent to strengthen industry coordination and alleviate the downward trend of prices. Lu Jiangen, deputy director of the marketing department of Shanghai Electric [8.95 0.90% power station group, told

at the same time, due to the changing domestic economic environment, signed contracts waiting for approval and other reasons, the uncertainty in the execution of contracts on hand by enterprises has increased, the price of raw materials fluctuates, the change of exchange rate is difficult to predict, and the risk of overseas projects has increased. These factors have also led to increased business risks

at present, power generation equipment enterprises are actively taking measures to alleviate the above adverse factors. The risk control evaluation model adopted by Shanghai electric power station group in reducing the risk of contract execution makes the planned production scheduling and user needs more reasonable, which has been unanimously affirmed by industry experts

in addition, in order to alleviate the impact of the decline in the conventional thermal power market, the equipment manufacturing enterprises dominated by the three power groups are taking the manufacturing of clean energy equipment such as wind power and nuclear power as an important direction to promote the adjustment of industrial structure

it is reported that during the 12th Five Year Plan period, hydropower will focus on the development of hydropower bases such as Jinsha River and Dadu River; Nuclear power will develop rapidly in coastal areas; In terms of wind power, seven ten million kilowatt power generation bases will be built in the next decade, which is equivalent to the establishment of seven Three Gorges, mainly distributed in Xinjiang, Gansu, Inner Mongolia and Jiangsu

however, in the face of the rapidly warming clean energy equipment market, domestic power generation equipment manufacturing enterprises are somewhat unable to cope. Due to the long construction cycle of nuclear power plants, the equipment supply capacity is limited to a certain extent, and the proportion of nuclear power is difficult to increase rapidly in the short term. At present, the main reason for the delay of many nuclear power plants is that the equipment cannot be made. Haoweiping, deputy director of the power department of the national energy administration, said at the 2011 power generation equipment preparation meeting

in the interview, the equipment manufacturing enterprises also expressed their difficulties about the problem of equipment delay. Technological diversification increases the difficulty of technological preparation and manufacturing. According to a department head of Harbin Electric Group, only for the third generation nuclear power, due to the high technical content and difficulty of the third generation technologies AP1000 and EPR, enterprises need to meet the requirements of domestic regulations while meeting the foreign technical requirements, resulting in the difficulty and long cycle of technology conversion

in addition, due to too many upgraded versions of AP1000, heavy repeated workload of enterprises, difficulty in purchasing raw materials and other factors, the delivery date of equipment enterprises is difficult to meet customer needs

at present, there are many kinds of nuclear power products in China, including ASME, HAF, TSG, RCC-M, ISO9001 and other standards. Sometimes a nuclear power project needs to implement several standards at the same time, and the technical standards are too high. Now how to better establish and implement the standard system really gives our equipment enterprises a headache. During the 2011 power generation equipment preparation meeting, many equipment manufacturing enterprises called for establishing China's own nuclear power standard system as soon as possible, and giving more attention and support to the localization of large forgings, supporting materials and welding materials in the 12th Five Year Plan period

from quantitative change to qualitative change

it was learned at the 2011 power generation equipment preparation meeting that the total production arrangement of some major power generation equipment manufacturers in 2011 was slightly higher than the actual output in 2010. The production arrangement of the whole industry is expected to reach 129 million KW, an increase of 10% over 2010. Among them, nuclear power equipment manufacturing contributes the most

while affirming the role of nuclear power in the adjustment of energy structure, Wang Shuqiang also said that at present, the field of nuclear power equipment manufacturing in China is more like an aristocratic club. Although the added value of products is high, it has higher requirements for the technology and management of manufacturing enterprises. More importantly, it is impossible for the nuclear power industry to maintain such a high-speed development every year in the future

he encouraged enterprises to set far-reaching goals and pay attention to growing industries. In the future, the development space of hydropower may be larger than that of thermal power. With the development of wind power and solar photovoltaic industry, pumped storage equipment will also have a lot of growth space. Wang Shuqiang predicted

according to the previous media disclosure, the planned installed capacity target of China's pumped storage power stations in 2020 will be significantly increased. The original plan was 50million kW, but it is actually expected to be increased to 100million kW. In the medium and long term, pumped storage power stations will at least double the current base in the next 10 years. This will be a new growth point for the power generation equipment manufacturing industry. Industry experts said

at the same time, the frequent quality problems of wind turbines in 2010 have also attracted the attention of relevant departments, and the development of wind power in 2011 may face adjustment. The development of China's wind power industry will reach a new level during the 12th Five Year Plan period. However, in the future, it is hoped that manufacturing enterprises will pay more attention to the power generation of wind power rather than the installed capacity, which involves no problems, but also the quality of wind turbines. Li Ye, director of the Department of energy conservation and scientific and technological equipment of the national energy administration, pointed out that it is not easy to achieve high reliability and high service life when the wind turbine operates in a harsh environment. Germany can realize the maintenance free of the wind turbine, which is what has happened in recent years, so we will continue to strengthen the quality in the next step to avoid windmills everywhere in the country, but there is not much power generation in a year. At the same time, in the field of wind power, we hope to truly build one or two enterprises that can stand in the world

based on the current situation of the power generation equipment industry, Wang Shuqiang predicted that the current relevant data showed that the utilization hours of China's power generation equipment tended to decline. In the future, China's power generation equipment market could not turn on the chiller, and it was difficult to maintain the previous high momentum. At this stage, enterprises should seize the opportunity to adjust the industrial structure, increase technological research and innovation, find their own position in the current market pattern, and plan for the next development. The better the situation of the enterprise, the more it needs to enter China Liansu Group Holdings Co., Ltd., the largest plastic pipe manufacturer in China, to make structural adjustment and technical reserves, so as to maintain the sustainable and healthy development of the enterprise. He stressed that we should not blindly pursue the number of kilowatts per unit, but also pursue the interest level of the number of kilowatts per unit. (Zhang Lei)

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